Friday 24 August 2012

Game Of The Weekend - The Preview


Liverpool vs Manchester City

Sunday, 26th August, 4-00pm


Team News

Liverpool rested a large proportion of their first choice men in the midweek victory over Hearts in the Europa League, meaning that their fixture congestion shouldn't effect performance in this Premiership clash. This means that they can welcome back the big names of Gerrard, Suarez, Skrtel and Johnson to welcome last year's winners Manchester City to Anfield. Joe Cole is unlikely to feature and Daniel Agger is suspended after last weekend's red card in the disastrous defeat to West Brom, so Brendan Rodgers must decide who should partner Slovakian Skrtel in the centre of defence, either Jaime Carragher or Sebastian Coates. Another issue would be whether he opts for Borini or Carroll, and the Italian would certainly be favourite to get the nod. For City, they are still without Gareth Barry and Micah Richards, as well as Sergio Aguero who is set to miss about a month's worth of action after the knee injury he sustained in last week's win over Southampton in a tussle with Nathaniel Clyne. This means Roberto Mancini will call upon either Edin Dzeko or Mario Balotelli to partner in-form Carlos Tevez, and form would suggest Dzeko ; Balotelli received a red card in this fixture last season, and Dzeko scored in the win over Southampton. The rest of City's side should be similar to how they lined up last weekend.

Key Battles

Steven Gerrard vs Yaya Toure

The truly big match-up in this game, and one which will have a huge say on where the points go. Gerrard will look to push forward and support Suarez in attack, offering a potent threat in terms of goalscoring. The interesting issue comes when Toure himself gets forward, as he did to devastating effect last season, and this could leave space for temporary England captain Gerrard to operate in. This places a huge amount of responsibility upon the shoulders of whoever Mancini deploys in defensive midfield, and it wouldn't be surprising to see him opt for the experience of De Jong over Rodwell, who started the last game.

Carlos Tevez vs Martin Skrtel

Skrtel will most likely be asked to have the role of shackling red hot Tevez, who's been flying so far this season with two goals in two games. This is a huge ask, and if the Reds are to be successful they'll hope he can do a good job. Tevez is likely to drop deeper and drift around, so the whole of the Liverpool back line must stay alert at all times, as any slip-ups will be punished.

Luiz Suarez vs Vincent Kompany

For all the nice touches and flashes of brilliant skill, Suarez needs to up his level of performance in terms of goals, and this is one of the toughest tasks he will face all season in the shape of Vincent Kompany. The City captain will be paying close attention to Suarez, so he'll need to delve deep into his box of tricks to get himself some space and success.

Prediction

Liverpool 1-2 Manchester City

HA

Wednesday 15 August 2012

Game of the Weekend - The Preview


Match Preview – Newcastle United vs Tottenham Hotspur

Saturday 18th August 2012, 5-30pm

Preview

A match up between two of last season’s contenders for the Champions League places promises to provide an entertaining start to the Barclays Premiership season of 2012/13. This exact fixture last year at in the North East produced an enthralling draw, with Shola Ameobi netting the Toon’s equalizer. However, despite the two teams being evenly matched for most of last season, there has been a great deal of change for the North London club, starting with their new manager being Andre Villas Boas. Villas Boas has faced Newcastle once before, winning 3-0 at St James’ Park with his Chelsea side last season, but having been a failure by and large for the Blues it will be interesting to see how he gets on this season. Both these sides will be aiming to finish in and around the top four again, but it’s going to be a tough ask with any of last year’s top eight all aiming for a European place.

Team News

Newcastle have some mounting injury problems as the season draws nearer, something which will worry them due to their fixture congestion in the early week’s of the campaign. Papiss Cisse (hamstring), Demba Ba (shin), Yohan Cabaye (fitness) and Hatem Ben Arfa (knee) all missed their last friendly, a 4-1 defeat to Cardiff, and captain Fabricio Coloccini was forced off during that clash. Highly rated midfielder Tiote also didn’t complete the game, complaining of a calf strain. However, none of the players have been definitely ruled out and therefore Newcastle fans can be hopeful of seeing some of them, if not all, involved in some respect during this game. Aside from those front-line stars, this season can see the return of Steven Taylor for Newcastle, who missed a large proportion of last season through injury. This selection dilemma facing Alan Pardew could mean starting briefs for Ameobi, and maybe some younger players such as Romain Amalfitano or Haris Vuckic. In terms of Tottenham’s preparation, they are suffering a striker shortage of their own kind, with Adebayor not returning on loan or permanently (yet) and Jermaine Defoe looking like one of their only options upfront. It’s been a Summer of rumours for Spurs in truth, linked with numerous players. They have secured the signings of Jan Vertonghen and Gylfi Sigurdsson, who will surely play some part in this opener, with Scott Parker ruled out with a persistent Achilles issue.

Key Battles

Danny Simpson vs Gareth Bale

Having pulled out of the Olympics, Welshman Bale has had a flying pre-season despite picking up a slight knock in a spat with Charlie Adam. Expect him to start down the left hand side here, and provide a stern test for Danny Simpson. If Simpson can force Bale back into his own half, and get help from Newcastle’s wide midfielder, Tottenham will have one of their main threats limited. Perhaps Pardew will opt for Jonas on the right merely to help counter this threat.

Sigurdsson vs Tiote

If the Ivorian does start, and likewise Sigurdsson is named in the Spurs staring XI, this is going to be a huge battle. Having struck several spectacular goals for Swansea last season, the Icelandic international will have to be shackled at any possible opportunity, a job tailor-made for hard man Tiote. If he’s out injured with a calf problem, Newcastle might struggle to replace him and this could be costly.

Walker vs Santon

Two attacking full backs on display down the same side means something will have to give, and if Walker leaves space down the right flank Newcastle could capitalize. Likewise, Santon will have to be very alert to prevent Walker offering an overlap in number, as this would be dangerous.

Prediction

Newcastle 1-1 Tottenham Hotspur

HA 

Tuesday 14 August 2012

Barclays Premiership 2012/13 - Predictions


It's been a while now since Sergio Aguero dramatically won the Premiership for Manchester City back in May, but now England's top flight makes its long awaited return with a full set of fixtures this weekend. Here, we give our view on who will finish where this season, in alphabetical order.

Arsenal - 4th

They've strengthened their side with the signings of Podolski, Giroud and Cazorla, but still a cloud hangs over them with the future of Robin Van Persie not sorted out. This could have an impact on their early season form, but you would expect them to make the Champions League places again.

Aston Villa - 11th

Poor last season in finishing in the bottom third, under new manager Paul Lambert they will be keen to impress. Lambert himself comes in on the back of a hugely successful season in charge of Norwich, so he's got good pedigree. The first thing they need to fix is last year's lack of goals, but to date their high profile signings have all been defenders with one midfielder.

Chelsea - 3rd

A historic campaign last year, maybe even their best ever, means the pressure will again be ridiculously high upon Roberto Di Matteo's shoulders. However, with Torres looking like he's coming good at last and the additions of Hazard, Oscar, Marin and more set to follow, they will be strong. We don't anticipate a title tilt, but they should be a shoe-in for a top four place.

Everton - 8th

Impressive towards the back end of last season, they really need to shake the tag of slow starters off. Yet, their first game is against Manchester United, so don't expect too fast a start. Jelavic made a huge impact after joining in January, and they could even add old Liverpool star Michael Owen to their ranks. Expecting another solid season for Moyes' men.

Fulham - 15th

Fulham could start to struggle this season, having lost Etuhu, Murphy and Pogrebnyak in the close season. Especially with Dempsey still being linked with a move away, and Dembele always wanted, it could be a nervous wait until the end of the transfer window for the Cottagers. They won't go down, but might struggle to break into the top half.

Liverpool - 7th

With a new manager, it really is anybody's guess to where Liverpool will end up this season. One thing is for sure though, they need to improve on last year's disaster. However, signings like Joe Allen for £15 will not be enough for a push at the Champions League. Expect a similar campaign, but something to build on for new boss Brendan Rodgers.

Manchester City - 1st

They might have barely changed their squad, but it's still the best in the division. It's extremely hard to see anybody getting past them this season, as the core of their side is young and motivated for more success. Carlos Tevez could have a big role to play, looking leaner and fitter, as well as bagging a brilliant goal in their community shield win.

Manchester United - 2nd

Again they haven't really strengthened, but you just know that Manchester United under Ferguson will be right up their come the end of the season. As it stands, it doesn't look like they'll have enough to overhaul City. However, the potential signing of Robin Van Persie from Arsenal could change this.

Newcastle - 6th

A good season last time out will give them something to work from, and under Pardew's stewardship they keep impressing. It looks like it will be very hard for them to match the spending power of those above them, and perhaps another Europa League spot is the best they can hope for. Will need Cisse and Ba to fire them up the table again, having done well to hold onto them.

Norwich - 16th

A brilliant first campaign back in the top flight, but now have to re-adjust having lost their manager. Chris Hughton has come in, and will be eager to prove his worth after being sacked by Newcastle after leading them to the Premier League. Some astute signings such as Michael Turner and Robert Snodgrass should mean they have enough about themselves to avoid relegation.

QPR - 19th

They escaped by the skin of their teeth at the end of last season, and there seems to be no real structure to what they are doing in the transfer market. They have a ridiculously big squad, and this can surely only lead to disharmony. Mark Hughes has a big job on, can he manage it? They're a contender for relegation, and will have to do a lot to get away from the mire at the bottom.

Reading - 12th

Having stormed to the Championship title last season, they have made some good signings and have a known financial backer. All of this points to success, and Reading should have no trouble in staying up this season. The challenge, however, will be to stay there.

Southampton - 13th

Similarly, did brilliantly to go up and have spent big money. Therefore, you would expect them to have a satisfactory amount of success, especially considering the young talent they have coming through. Jack Cork and Adam Lallana are definitely players with big futures to look out for this season, along with new signing Jay Rodriguez.

Stoke - 10th

Nowadays a confirmed fixture in the Premiership, this will be another season of consolidating their mid-table status. Hard to beat at home, and generally a tough game whenever or wherever. Manager Tony Pulis is rapidly gaining more recognition for his success, and striker Peter Crouch may well feel he has something to prove having missed out on England's Euro 2012 squad despite a good season.

Sunderland - 9th

Improved drastically after Martin O'Neill came in midway through last season, and this rise should be set to continue. O'Neill did a very good job at Aston Villa, earning three consecutive 6th place finishes, and he'll be targeting similar success eventually at the Stadium of Light. Much will depend on their pursuit of Steven Fletcher of Wolves, having chased him for most of the Summer yet still not secured his signature.

Swansea - 18th

Having lost Brendan Rodgers, it could be a surprising struggle for the Welsh side this season. They did earn plenty of plaudits last season, and secured a very impressive finish, but under Michael Laudrup we're not convinced they have enough to do it again. Couple this with the loss of Joe Allen, and they have a lot of work to do if they can repeat last season's heroics.

Tottenham - 5th

Spurs were highly unlucky not to gain entry into the Champions League last season, and will be targeting that as their aim this season. With Chelsea flop Andre Villas Boas in charge, it will be interesting to see how they go. The young Portuguese manager will feel he has a lot to prove, although his man management skills in West London were nothing short of shocking. Has he learnt his lesson? Luka Modric saga could affect them, too.

West Brom - 17th

Another side with a new manager, meaning it is hard to predict where they will end up. Steve Clarke will be eager to prove himself as a number one, having spent all his previous career in the shadows, and it will be interesting to see how Romelu Lukaku goes on loan at the Hawthorns. We're backing them to just have enough to stay up.

West Ham - 14th

Sam Allardyce was very unfortunate to be sacked from his last post in the Premiership, at Blackburn, so it's a deserved return for the ex Bolton and Newcastle man. His West Ham side should be well equipped to manage easily enough here, although it will have been a blow not to land Andy Carroll, and they had to settle for a relatively unknown quantity, Modibo Maiga from Sochaux. Expect players like Kevin Nolan, Carlton Cole and the returning James Collins to have big roles to play.

Wigan - 20th

So often have they defied the odds and escaped from trouble, but yet again we are tipping them to go down. With Victor Moses' move to Chelsea seemingly edging closer, they will struggle for goals again. However, with Martinez still in charge, they will feel that they can upset the apple cart and extend their stay in the top flight.

What do you think will happen this season? Which team do you think will be most improved this time around? Let us know, and get involved in the debate on Twitter, finding us at @TacticalBet.

HA


TacticalBet Returns!

As promised, we're back just before the start of the 2012/13 Premiership season to offer our advice and tips ahead of the new season. Of course, football has already started with the Community Shield and a handful of Capital One Cup games, but this weekend is where the fireworks start. Aside from just football, we'll be offering our view on cricket, with England facing a crucial final Test against South Africa this week, and most other sports which will be in the media spotlight. Here's a brief run through of what you can expect over the coming days and weeks.

Premiership Predictions -

We did it last year, with a varying degree of success, and we'll have another go at this season.

Regular Updates -

Via our Twitter feed, @TacticalBet, we'll be keeping you up to date with all the goings on in the sporting world.

Analysis -

Aside from betting, we like to offer our view points on certain issues and performances, and we'll give plenty of analysis whenever we can/

Betting Tips -

Obviously, we'll be plying you with tips left right and centre, searching for that winning bet to help earn you some money. All odds given on the site with either come from Betfair, or SkyBet.

HA

Wednesday 4 July 2012

TacticalBet's Summer Break

With Euro 2012 done and dusted, Wimbledon slowly reaching its conclusion, and the cricket season continuing to be thwarted due to rain, TacticalBet is taking a Summer reporting break. We'll be back in early August to cover the start of the 2012/13 Premiership season in full glory. You may still see the odd piece of analysis from us though, so keep an eye out.

Here's a few tips from us to be getting along with -

Brazil to win the Olympic football @ 3.35
Tsonga to win Wimbledon @ 15
Steven Finn to be the top wicket taker in the ODI's vs Australia @ 3
Sussex to win the Friends Life T20 2012 @ 4.7

A big thanks is in order to thank all our readers for following us over the last year, we hope you've enjoyed what we've had to offer. We'll be back in August, and in the mean-time, enjoy the Olympics!

HA

Tuesday 26 June 2012

England's Fall - Onwards To Brazil 2014



England's demonizing defeat at the hands of Italy on Sunday was a heartbreaking way to end what has, ultimately, been a promising start to Roy Hodgson's reign in charge. Undoubtedly they deserved to go out, but having topped a tough group there is certainly something to look back on with some form of pride. But, with some ageing stars, and some younger talent coming through, how will England be looking to line up in the next major tournament, the World Cup in Brazil in two years time? TacticalBet here takes a look at who might be coming onto the scene, and who can aim to keep their place from these European Championships.

Goalkeeper 

Joe Hart, provided he stays fit, can look forward to an extended spell as the country's number one and is even perhaps a future captain. A good showing in all four games, he can leave Ukraine and Poland with his head held high and look forward to focusing on the next tournament, and hopefully those beyond it.

Defence

Going from right to left, Glen Johnson did enjoy a relatively successful tournament performance wise, but will find himself under serious threat from Kyle Walker, who got injured in the build up to the tournament. Johnson is suspect, and always has been defensively, so in terms of the next World Cup, you'd have to think Walker will be lining up as first choice right-back. In the middle, John Terry, despite everything, was undoubtedly England's best player in the defeat to Italy, and excelled throughout. However, he is now already 31, and with his up and coming trial for allegedly being racist to Anton Ferdinand, it looks like that will be it for Terry. Moving forward, Lescott also turned in a series of dependable performances, so for England it looks like the way forward could well be a Lescott and Cahill axis in the middle of defence. Phil Jones and Chris Smalling can apply competition, and might even be able to force themselves ahead of either Lescott or Cahill. Left back will remain Ashley Cole's position, and nobody else in the country is anywhere near his level. Yes, his penalty was extremely poor, but he should not be held accountable for England's exit in any way. Kieran Gibbs can be his understudy, but in 2014 Cole will still be around.

TB's Pick - Walker, Cahill, Lescott, Cole

Midfield

Theo Walcott showed more than enough in his cameo appearances this tournament to suggest that he should be given the chance to nail down that right midfield slot for England. Milner worked hard, but in the end was sub-standard, and was lucky to retain his place for the quarter-final. In the centre of midfield, Steven Gerrard was another of England's impressive performers, and will surely continue to captain the side up to Brazil at least. However, at times he was running a one man show, as Scott Parker is simply too defensive minded to operate in a four man midfield. It is all well and good blocking shots and throwing your body on the line, but the truth is Parker must take a large share of the blame for England's failure to keep the ball in the midfield, when in possession he simply went missing. Jack Wilshere will be around the squad, provided he is fit, from now on and he could have that position his own. Gareth Barry and Michael Carrick will also be touted for the role of partnering Gerrard, but the oppotunity seems Wilshere's to make it his own. On the left, Ashley Young certainly underperformed, but has shown at Manchester United that he has talent and should continue in the role in the immediate future. However, Arsenal star Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain will be applied serious pressure, having shown promise. In terms of the rest of the squad, string alongs like Stuart Downing are going to have to work exceptionally hard to play a part in the England future, and at the moment Jordan Henderson is simply nowhere near the standard needed. Jack Rodwell is one who could come in, and maybe even Tom Cleverly.

TB's Pick - Walcott, Gerrard, Wilshere, Young

Attack

Wayne Rooney, despite his under-performing against Italy and lax display in possession against Ukraine, is England's best option going forward and is the future. Danny Welbeck impressed and can expect to continue in his berth as the furthest forward man. There are many other options in this current day and age, with players like Daniel Sturridge who didn't even make the squad pushing. Andy Carroll, despite a goal against Sweden, just is not good enough at this level at the moment. He will need to start turning in consistent performances at club level for Liverpool, and in all honesty shouldn't have even been in this squad. Jermaine Defoe was limited to a minor role with personal tragedy hindering him, but if he continues to score at a domestic level he can expect to still have a role to play. Perhaps he may need to move away from Tottenham in order to get a better run of starts.

TB's Pick - Rooney, Welbeck

Roy Hodgson has many issues to address in the light of England's exit, but the fans must not be disheartened. With a relatively straight-forward qualifying group, there is room for great optimism ahead of a surge to Brazil 2014, and the next World Cup.

HA

Thursday 21 June 2012

Euro 2012 - The Knockout Stages



Tonight marks the start or the knockout stages of the European Championships in Poland and Ukraine, and the tournament has already produced some cracking games and a fair few shocks along the way. For Germany, Spain, Czech Republic, Greece, Portugal, England, France and Italy the dreams of glory remain, but for the host nations and the other sides who failed to qualify, it is over for another four years. TacticalBet assess the tournament so far, and what might go on to happen.

Team Of The Group Stages (4-4-2)

Casillas (Spain)
Srna (Croatia) Hummels (Germany) Lescott (England) Alba (Spain)
Modric (Croatia) Iniesta (Spain) Jiracek (Czech Republic) Dzagoev (Russia)
Gomez (Germany) Bendtner (Denmark)

Game Of The Group Stages

Portugal 3-2 Denmark

A superb first half display from the under-fire Portuguese looked set to hand them all three points, before an equally brilliant one from the Danes in the second half hauled them level, with two Nicklas Bendtner strikes. In a final twist, however, and this is what makes the game of football so special, substitute Varela sealed the win for Bento's men, and set them on their way to the quarter-finals.

Goal Of The Group Stages

Zlatan Ibrahimovic (Sweden 2-0 France)

They might already be on their way home, but by God does Zlatan Ibrahimovic know how to go out in style. A spectacular scissor kick from 18 yards showed just why he is so feared.

So, with that all wrapped up it is onto the last eight, starting with Czech Republic facing Portugal tonight. While these games are so hard to predict, as we've seen anything can happen in the knockout rounds, we'll give it a go!

Czech Republic 0-2 Portugal
Germany 3-0 Greece
Spain 1-0 France
England 1-1 Italy (England win on penalties)

Portugal 0-1 Spain
Germany 2-0 England

Spain 0-0 Germany (Germany win on penalties)

What do you think will happen in the remaining games? Who's been your star of the show so far? Get in touch with the debate on Twitter, by searching for @TacticalBet and using the #Euro2012 hash-tag.

HA

Sunday 17 June 2012

Yohan Cabaye - The Stats


Just How Good Is Yohan Cabaye?


After a breakthrough season in the Barclays Premiership this season, Yohan Cabaye has drawn numerous plaudits for his slick passing game, tough tackling and an eye for goal. As he starts for France in the European Championship this Summer, we take a look at just how good Cabaye is, taking into account all the performance stats this season for the Magpies.

Appearances 38*
Goals 4
Assists 6
Yellow Cards 7

Shots Per Game 2.8
Pass Success 86%
Aerial Duels Won Per Game 0.1
Man of the Match 4

*In all competitions

It is clear from looking at the above stats that one of his great strengths is his renowned passing game, whether this be short passes in the midfield or looking further afield to set either Ba or Cisse away. Perhaps the best example was a spectacular through ball to the latter against Stoke, splitting the defence in half and setting Papiss Cisse up for another goal. That said, six assists is a decent tally but far from superb, yet maybe this reflects his deeper role by where he was more often than not starting the move, as opposed to making the key final ball. The high assist makers in the league normally slot in either in the wide areas, or just off the striker, but from a pitch map of Cabaye’s average position, we can see it was just off the centre circle. Therefore, his high pass success rate is even more impressive, and perhaps this is what shows him to be so good.

So, his high quality passing game isn’t up for debate. However, there is more of a cloud over his tackling and defensive game. On the stats, he did make a good amount of tackles and interceptions, showing him to be a good contributor to the team and a hard working individual. Yet, 7 yellow cards this season, all obtained in the Premier League, isn’t ideal. There was also a petulant incident involving a Brighton player in the FA Cup which resulted in a three match ban for the Frenchman, something he simply must cut out of his game. He only missed four games in the League all season, and with most of these due to this ban it is imperative he learns to keep his temper more. Aside from that, Cabaye has tended to make too many fouls this season, a case in point seen from the France-England game in the European Championships on Monday, where he made three or four blatant fouls. While maybe this can be attributed to the change in domestic league in terms of his ill-discipline, it is again something which he must work on if he is to push on and become one of the best in the division at his role and position.

Possessing a powerful long range shot, shown against Stoke and particularly in the superb win over Manchester United, Cabaye is a talented footballer technique wise, undoubtedly. Now, he must push on at strengthing other aspects of his game, such as his work off the ball and his discipline. If he can up those two areas, Newcastle could have one of the best central midfielders playing in the Premier League on their books.

What’s your view on Cabaye? Will one of the bigger clubs come in for him this Summer? Get in touch!

HA

Friday 8 June 2012

Newcastle's Latest Coup


Graham Carr’s New Contract


Today brought the news that Graham Carr, life-long Newcastle supporter, had been handed a bumper new contract by the club, which will see him remain in his role as head-scout for another eight years. Contracts of such length are almost un-heard of in the world of sport, which delivers a message of great faith and belief in Carr’s ability, as well as spreading a message of continuity about the football club.

Carr has undoubtedly played a huge role in Newcastle’s recent success in the transfer market, uncovering numerous players in the last two seasons, since he joined the club in February 2010. Players like Hatem Ben Arfa, Yohan Cayabe and Sylvain Marveaux  joined from the French league, and Cheick Tiote and Papiss Cisse followed suit from other European leagues. These captures provided a fascinating insight into the ever changing transfer policy which Newcastle have began creating, moving away from the signings of English players such as Alan Smith, Joey Barton and Kevin Nolan and prospering in the foreign markets. Newcastle’s managing director Derek Llambias had this to say on the news earlier today : ‘He (Graham Carr) has been instrumental in helping us bring in some truly exceptional players. He has deservedly built a reputation as one of the best in the business.’ High praise, and truly deserved for the man who has had previous spells at Tottenham and Manchester City.

However, is there a negative outlook on today’s news? Carr will now be working at the club until well into his seventies, and the role he fills is an extremely taxing one, requiring him to travel all over the world looking for talent. Also, a large proportion of his role depends on the manager in charge at the club, who could possibly want more control over transfers, whereas Alan Pardew seems content to allow Carr a great deal of power over the dealings coming into the club. Will both Pardew and Carr be there in 8 years? It seems highly unlikely that they both will, given the ever changing world of football, but the message his new contract sends out is certainly a positive one.


So what now for Newcastle? They’ll already pounced for Romain Amalfitano, another star from the French leagues, who will join at the end of his contract at the beginning of next month. The Toon have also been heavily linked with Chad international Hassan Hissein, but face competition from Liverpool for his signature. There is a constant steam of speculation that Newcastle will also struggle to keep hold of their stars of last season. Ferguson chasing Tiote? Cayabe lined up as a shock target for Wenger’s Arsenal? They have allowed Guthrie, Lovenkrands and Smith to depart, and Leon Best looks set to follow suit with Celtic again sniffing around, but Carr’s role would come under greater importance if last season’s stars moved away to bigger and better things. Can he again deliver? Newcastle clearly think so, and his track record would suggest so, so watch this space as far as the Magpies are concerned in the transfer market.

HA

Wednesday 6 June 2012

You Never Get Anything For Free - Or Can You?


In the current days of heady transfer fees, England's top teams have already shipped out over £50 million and the window isn't even open yet. Hazard, Marin, Podolski and Kagawa have all agreed deals to move to Chelsea, Arsenal or Manchester United in big money moves. With football clubs beginning to feel the pinch, TacticalBet takes a look at the smart moves clubs could take this close-season, by pouncing on those players out of contract.

Chelsea's Forgotten Heroes

Salomon Kalou and Jose Bosingwa both started in Chelsea two finals this season, are played a big role in their success. They won't be short of offers for a new club, having been released from their contracts following Chelsea's Munich triumph. Bosingwa, a full back signed from Porto for over £15 million, has often been criticised for his defensive ability, but it cannot be denied that he offers a lot going forward and could be a good signing for a Premiership side. Forward Kalou has appeared as a substitute more times than anybody else in Chelsea's history, but excelled as a starter under Di Matteo in the latter stages of the season. Again, clubs spending big money could do a lot worse than signing the Ivorian winger on a Bosman.

Hugo Rodellega

A consistent performer over the last few campaigns for Wigan, the Colombian found his opportunities limited towards the end of the season as a January move fell through. A decent forward who can also play on the wing, he'd be another good signing if clubs are consciously watching what they spend. It was rumoured that Arsenal and Tottenham were looking in the mid-season window, could they be in again?

Danny Guthrie

Newcastle has released the Merseyside born midfielder after nearly 100 appearances for the Toon. Having filled in at a number of positions this season when Newcastle suffered injuries, proving himself to be a versatile option. He can count himself unlucky not to have been offered an extended deal, but certainly won't be short of Premiership options this season.

The Forgotten Man

Owen Hargreaves took a risk by signing for Manchester City this season, and it failed spectacularly. Despite starring in a few League Cup games, he never broke into the first team, and he needs regular football when fit to both maintain football and then get up to match fitness and sharpness. Could a side offer him this? One thing is for sure, a fit and match ready Owen Hargreaves is a fantastic player.

HA

Monday 4 June 2012

Top Tips

It's all about to get very interesting in the world of sport, with the start of Euro 2012 at the fore-front of some exciting action coming up. Here's five top tips in relation to things coming up.

Greece To Stun Poland @ 4.6

As co-hosts Poland kick off the tournament on Friday, they'll be up against a former winner of the tournament in the shape of Greece. Under new leadership, with a fresh crop of stars, they are most certainly a team to watch. Host nations are always expected to do well in their tournaments, but we've seen Greece do it before and Poland aren't the best of sides, so we're tipping a shock here.

Cristiano Ronaldo To Miss A Penalty @ 2.1

A bit of a fun one here, but Ronaldo is yet to really shine on the biggest stage, so imagine the storm if he passed up a golden chance from 12 yards. With Portugal in the 'group of death' they will be under immense pressure, can the 2nd best footballer in the world handle it?

South Africa To Beat Tourists England @ 1.33

As England's rugby side head over to South Africa for a three Test series, expectations will be low. And rightly so, expect a home win here, it's worth sticking some money on it.

England To Draw Against West Indies @ 2.2

The series has already been sown up by England, and therefore we are backing the draw in the final Test at Edgebaston. With the weather being so bad as it has been recently, and England resting their front line bowler in James Anderson, it looks a distinct possibility. Also, West Indies will be attempting to avoid a whitewash and try to salvage some pride.

Federer To Win At Roland Garros @ 14.5

Rafa Nadal is the hot favourite, and Federer is a long way out. He's won so many tournaments before, all over the world, worth a chance?

You can keep up to date with all the action as it unfolds with TacticalBet, and we'll be giving expert analysis all through Euro 2012.

HA

Wednesday 30 May 2012

Whatever Happened To...



Xisco


When Newcastle signed Francisco Jimenez Tejada on transfer deadline day in 2008, a few eyebrows were raised. With the then manager Kevin Keegan seemingly unhappy at his lack on control on transfer activity, it never seemed that ‘Xisco’ was destined for greatness in the North East. However, he did score on debut against Hull City, yet after this there has been very little success. In total the Spaniard, with 11 youth international caps, has only made 9 league appearances for the Magpies, yet he is still contracted to the club. That may come as a surprise to many supporters, who had thought that the forward had left on a permanent transfer. So, what has he been up to, and does he still have a future at the club as he returns this close-season after three loan moves back to Spain?

Signed for 5.7 million, possibly rising to 7 million, it is without doubt that there must have been some potential in Xisco, a robust forward who had scored goals for fun at Deportivo B, and had a decent record for the first team in La Liga. As shown about he hasn’t had any great success for the Newcastle first team, and a red card for the reserves did him no favour either. He left under unhappy circumstances, returning to his native country on loan after failing to turn up to several training sessions.

His first loan spell came at Racing Santander, a mid to low table side in Spain’s top division. Mainly un-inspiring, he did turn in some good performances showing why he had began to make a name for himself at Deportivo. Scoring three times in 23 league appearance is far from prolific, but a large amount were from the bench and he played a vital role in their run to the semi-finals of the Copa Del Rey. Returning to Newcastle he again failed to oust Obafemi Martins, Andy Carroll and Peter Lovenkrands, and despite an entertaining cameo and an assist in the 6-0 mauling of Aston Villa, found himself out on loan again in January 2011. Back at his first club, he scored twice in nine appearances yet couldn’t prevent them staying up, and Deportivo were relegated. He stayed for the entire 2011/12 season, yet didn’t play as big a role as he would have wanted. He did, however, play a big role in their final game of the season as they secured a quick return to the top division, winning promotion. 2 goals in 14 league appearances was again not a great return, but he did show glimpses of real talent.

So, is there a chance that Xisco could make it in the Newcastle first team eventually? It looks as though he will be sold as Alan Pardew attempts to build his squad for a Europa League campaign this season. However, it is without doubt that he has some natural ability, and maybe, just maybe, Newcastle should take a punt on him this season.

HA

Monday 28 May 2012

Euro 2012 - The Surprise Packages




With the European Championships starting in under a month now, TacticalBet takes the opportunity to take a look at some of the potential dark-horses for the tournament in Poland and Ukraine.

France - 12/1

Les Bleus suffered a horrific experience in their last major International voyage, crashing out in the group stages in the most recent World Cup in South Africa. Back then they were a rudderless ship destined to sink, with in-fighting and poor performances sealing an early trip home, earning just the single point in a draw with Uruguay. However, under new man Laurent Blanc, they've enjoyed a brilliant run in qualifying, and earned some great results in recent friendlies. With the French domestic league beginning to develop to a new level of prestige, these are exciting times for French football. They'll fancy their chances of topping the group, involving England, Sweden and Ukraine, and if they can manage that then they've got a real chance.

The Hosts - 50/1

Both Poland and Ukraine are priced around 50/1 to win the tournament, and given their pedigree it looks like they have no chance. However, home advantage can never be underestimated. Ukraine will feel they can beat England on home turf, as they did a few years ago in a qualifier for the 2010 World Cup, when Rob Green saw red. With 35 year old Shevchenko on his swan-song, this last chance saloon means that Ukraine will be more than motivated. Poland are probably less likely to advance, but do have the help of being in a very straight-forward group with no real star sides. They've got good players, and could yet spring a surprise. There have been shocks before in the European Championship, and don't bank on this winner being easy to pick.

Portugal - 20/1

The nearly men of previous tournaments, they will go into this occasion knowing that they have a chance, as they always do. Beaten in the semi-finals of previous tournaments, losing a final on home soil, will all have hurt the Portuguese fans, and their players will feel they've got a chance to pay something back here. With arguably the best player in the tournament, Cristiano Ronaldo, their won't be many teams they fear.

Czech Republic - 100/1

They may seem an extraordinarily long-shot, but they shouldn't be overlooked. In the relatively 'easy' Group A, they'll feel they've got a great chance of topping the group. In doing so they would earn themselves a winnable tie in the quarter-final, and then anything can happen. Big odds, but they will believe, and they've got big game players in the form of Petr Cech and Milan Baros.

TacticalBet's Predictions -

Group A - Czech Republic, Poland, Russia, Greece
Group B - Netherlands, Portugal, Germany, Denmark
Group C - Spain, Italy, Croatia, RO Ireland
Group D - France, Ukraine, England, Sweden

Winners - Netherlands

HA

Sunday 20 May 2012

Five Things We Learnt From Chelsea's Triumph



Petr Cech's Penalty Prowess 

It must have been said at least a thousand times as the Champions League final headed towards a penalty shootout that the Germans 'don't lose' in the dead-ball scenario. Therefore, it was going to take something special to stop them, especially right infront of their home crowd. Czech Republic keeper Cech did just that, guessing right for all five of Bayern's penalties and crucially saving two. That now means that the last seven penalties Cech has faced, he's gone the right way. There is nothing lucky about that, despite the old adage of the penalty shootout being a 'lottery'.

Spirit Over Skill

You can have all the skill in the world, the finest technique known to man, but perhaps the greatest quality of all is that 'never say die' attitude which seems to typify this Chelsea side. Refusing to be beaten, they pulled another rabbit out of the hat by striking late on to level the match when all had looked lost. Furthermore, they were 2-0 and then 3-1 down in the shoot-out, yet still failed to buckle. The team may change, but you can rest assured that the spirit will never end. This Bayern Munich team, while possibly providing a visage of being together, were at loggerheads earlier in the season. While Chelsea might have had issues with their long line of managers, you can't deny that this group of players are all united.

Gomez Disappoints

You simply do not expect your 40 goal a season striker to miss the kind of chances that Mario Gomez did on Saturday night. In the semi-final, he may of scored the decisive goal in the home leg late on, but he also missed a raft of chances throughout both ties. Here, he was at it again, heading over a presentable chance, mis-controlling when only six yards out, and most heinously blazing over when brilliantly placed. Is Gomez merely struggling under the pressure, or is the standard of the German league such that he is overrated?

The 'Beautiful' Game 

There is no set way to play football, and Chelsea proved that it doesn't matter how you play, it's all about the result. Bitter Tottenham, Barcelona and Munich fans can moan long into the night about Chelsea's defensive set-up, but realistically football is all about winning. Chelsea got their name on the Cup, and in 10 years time that's all that will be remembered. The debate will go on though, yet should more teams adopt defensive strategies like Chelsea in order to succeed? It does appear that while Arsenal continue with their free flowing football, they will never win the Champions League, as their are better sides at it than they are.

Roman's Empire

The obsession has been satisfied, the dream complete. Ambramovic's dream of sealing European glory has finally been achieved, and surely nobody can criticise him after what he's done in his 9 year spell in West London. Chelsea's motto has been 'making history, not re-living it', and they certainly made a huge chunk of it with this step into immortality. The side the Russian oligarch built currently stands on top of the world, and it owes a lot to his money and work.

HA

May's Update

As things reach a peak of excitement in the month of May, it's time to take a quick stock-take on what action we've seen so far, and what's to come.

Football - Chelsea clinched the Champions League after an extraordinary victory over home side Bayern Munich, 4-3 on penalties. Despite TacticalBet, along with most of the footballing world, tipping the Germans, Roberto Di Matteo's men pulled off one of the most memorable upsets ever to grace the biggest of stages. Thomas Muller looked to have won it for Bayern with 8 minutes to go, before Drogba, like a pheonix from the flames, pulled Chelsea out of the depths of despair to drag the game into extra time. Those thinking the drama couldn't get any greater were sorely mistaken, as Drogba preceded to give away a penalty which ex-Chelsea star Arjen Robben went on to miss. It was beyond fiction, and in extrodinary circumstances, Drogba again proved the man for all occasions as he slotted the final penalty in the shoot-out. Elsewhere, West Ham returned to the Premier League thanks to their 2-1 victory over Blackpool, and York similarly earned promotion beating York in the Blue Square Premier final. In the 4th final of the weekend, Hearts thrashed Hibs to win the Scottish Cup, after an all Edinburgh affair.

Rugby - Leinster continued their dominance in the Heinenken Cup with a third triumph in four seasons, beating Ulster 42-14 at Twickenham. Biarritz claimed the Challenge Cup seeing off Jonny Wilkinson's Toulon in a tight, no try match. Up next is the Aviva Premiership final, which will be between Leicester and Harlequins. If that wasn't enough, there's the Championship play-off final between the Cornish Pirates and London Welsh, a result which could have great significance for the relegation places in the Premiership.

Cricket - County cricket remains in full flow, with the weather steadily improving, and England are back in action with a three test series against the West Indies. The hosts looked in control for the majority of the first four days, but will have a testing chase ahead of them, needed 191 to win and closing on 10-2. However, you would still have to have Strauss' men down as strong favourites,

In the season that just keeps giving, next up is the European Championships, held in Poland and Ukraine. We'll be here in the build up to the tournament with all the insightful articles and tips you could wish for.

HA

Wednesday 16 May 2012

England's European Championship Squad - The Debate


New England manager Roy Hodgson today confirmed the 23 man squad he will take to Poland and Ukraine for the European Championships next month, and it wasn't an announcement without controversy and debate. It began with the farce of the squad slowly being leaked before the set time when it was supposed to become general knowledge, and ended with #HodgsonOut already trending on Twitter before the mid-afternoon. So, just what are the calls that has got everybody talking?

England Squad for the Euro's -

Goalkeepers - Hart, Green, Ruddy
Defenders - Johnson, Jones, Terry, Lescott, Cahill, Cole, Baines
Midfielders - Parker, Barry, Milner, Gerrard, Lampard, Walcott, Oxlade-Chamberlain, Young, Downing
Forwards - Rooney, Welbeck, Defoe, Carroll

There are three main areas of debate to be considered, and we'll offer a judgment of how we think the new man in charge has called it.

John Terry vs Rio Ferdinand

It's such a difficult call to make, but Hodgson has stated he's made the call based purely on 'footballing reasons' and if that is the case, to us it looks like he's made the right call, albeit it just. There were arguments for the inclusion - and exclusion - of both central defenders, but the logic does decree that is should be the Chelsea man taking his place on the plane. Ferdinand has played just once for England since missing out on the World Cup in 2010 due to injury, and it seems right that Terry should be given the chance to compete in the tournament he helped qualify for. At 33, there are also question marks over how many games Ferdinand can manage in a short space of time, such is the way International tournaments are structured.

Form vs Reputation

So, Andy Carroll has made the squad based upon two good performances in recent weeks. In all honesty, until his recent games against Chelsea, he had been very poor in the Premiership this season, and at times struggled to even make a floundering Liverpool side. While there is an argument for Hodgson taking those players in good form, it highlights a horrific sense of in-consistency throughout the squad. Stuart Downing is picked with a total of 0 goals, and 0 assists this season in 36 Premiership game. It is astonishing that a player with such stats can be selected to represent his county on one of the biggest stages of all. Furthermore, Steven Gerrard is named as captain despite having barely played this season, and being distinctively average in most of the games he has featured in. Players who have had good seasons, like Michael Carrick, Grant Holt and even Swansea duo Danny Graham and Scott Sinclair have been left out in the hope that these players can re-live their past glories. Yet, Carroll has been included on almost the complete opposite grounds. Where's the logic in that one, Roy?

The Oxlade-Chamberlain Gaffe 

Given all the other controversy, it wouldn't have been complete without a live on air blunder from the new manager. Upon being asked about the Arsenal youngsters inclusion, Hodgson responded by stating he had seen Oxlade-Chamberlain 'deal very well with' Pirlo and Ambrosini when Arsenal met AC Milan at the Emirates. The only slight issue with this, is that it is an impossible scenario. Pirlo transfered to Juventus last Summer, and Ambrosini wasn't even on the bench for the game. So, being live at the game, just what did Roy Hodgson really see? It seems as though this horrific error highlights the lack of serious thought gone into the selection. Perhaps it's understandable given the way that he was West Brom manager until Saturday, but maybe that's a reason why the FA shouldn't have given him the job? Either way, he completely made up that he'd seen Chamberlain play against Pirlo and Ambrosini, for it simply never happened. Nobody is really complaining about the inclusion of the 18 year old, but the rational thought process behind it would appear to not exist.

TacticalBet's England Squad -

Goalkeepers - Hart, Green, Ruddy
Defenders - Richards, Johnson, Terry, Lescott, Cahill, Cole, Baines
Midfielders - Parker, Barry, Gerrard, Lampard, Carrick, Walcott, Sinclair, Johnson
Forwards - Rooney, Defoe, Welbeck, Holt, Sturridge

HA

Tuesday 15 May 2012

Team of the Season - Premiership 2011/12



So, here ends the 2011/12 Premiership season. And what a campaign it has been. From the opening few matches, to the last dramatic seconds, it was a truly gripping spectacle right the way through. How fitting that Sergio Aguero should score the goal that won the title, 9 months after he’d lit up the scene in August with two debut goals. There will be happiness, coupled with heartbreak and disappointment, but nobody can deny the overall standard of entertainment has been nothing short of spectacular. It wouldn’t be a complete season though, without a team of the year to end it. Here’s our selection.

GK – Joe Hart

While honorable mentions go to Michel Vorm and Ali Al Habsi, two under-rated keepers who had huge parts to play in their respective sides success, there really is only one option for this position. A stalwart of the Manchester City side who won their first title for 44 years, Englishman Hart was right at the middle of the success. Crucial saves earned Mancini’s men important points along the way, memorably at Aston Villa, Wigan and Liverpool.

RB – Kyle Walker

Another young English talent, Sheffield born Walker earned the title of PFA Young Player of the Year, and had a great season in the full back role for Tottenham Hotspur. Solid defensively, he was always offering a good outlet wide and in aggressive areas for Spurs, and crowned his season with two stunning goals, one of which proved the winner in the North London Derby.

CB’s – Vincent Kompany and Fabricio Coloccini

After lifting the title on the final day of the season, the towering figure off Vincent Kompany simply had to make every team of the year, didn’t he? A superb leader on and off the field, he gave some magnificent defensive performances, and also popped up with a few crucial goals at the other end. His partner in our side is Newcastle skipper Coloccini, another captain who led his team superbly. Solid and dependable, much of what the Magpies achieved this season wouldn’t have been possible without him.

LB – Leighton Baines

Not an easy position to pick, this one, although mostly down to the lack of run-away candidates. Jose Enrique of Liverpool did well for large parts of the season, but had a terrible end to the season. Baines was always there for Everton, setting up numerous chances with his great left foot, and also helps contribute to a good back-line that David Moyes’ men possess. A useful asset, and could find himself a transfer target from the big guns.

RM – Antonio Valencia

Sweeping both Player of the Year awards for Manchester United at their end of season dinner is no mean feat, and that’s why he’s a justified pick in our XI of the season. A willing contributor defensively, he always manages to cause danger to great effect in opposition territory. It spoke volumes that his selection – or lack of it – was one of the main talking points in the Derby defeat to rivals City in the ending weeks of the season.

CM’s – Yaya Toure and Yohan Cabaye

Two recently new arrivals to the Premiership, both who had had tremendous impacts upon their sides success. Ivorian Toure epitomizes everything powerful about Manchester City, and his performances have been nothing short of exemplary. His two goals against Newcastle went a long way to securing the title, and he is now one of the best players in the division. Cabaye came into the league on a very small transfer budget compared to Toure, but has shown his brilliance. His range of passing is phenomenal, he’s shooting from distance memorable, but he also made the most tackles out of any other midfielder in the Barclays Premiership this season.

LM – Juan Mata

The only player in the league to create over 100 chances this season – the last four to do so have all been Chelsea players – deserves his spot in this end of season ‘elect’ eleven. In a troubled and at times farcical campaign, Mata was always there for Chelsea causing problems and tirelessly working. He might have struggled to impact on the bigger games, but his stunning goals against Arsenal and Manchester United at Stamford Bridge suggest otherwise.

ST’s – Robin van Persie and Sergio Aguero

It must be noted that Wayne Rooney had a very good season, and there were other great candidates like Grant Holt or Danny Graham, but there is simply no getting past these two. Van Persie ended with the golden boot, and Aguero hit 23 goals – including that winner at the weekend to clinch the title. Without these players, respective sides Arsenal and Manchester City would have been hard placed to achieve the same as they did.

Manager – Alan Pardew

Yes Mancini has won the league, but in terms of money spent and un-thinkable success, it has to be Londoner Pardew. Nobody’s choice when he took over, he’s taken the Toon into fairytale land – aka the Europa League with a 5th placed finish. Those barmy fans will relish a few nights out across Europe, and it’s well deserved. 

Saturday 12 May 2012

Stick Or Twist For Ashley?



As Newcastle began to re-establish themselves within the Premiership after a year spend in the second tier, the players at the heart of this relative success were starts such as Kevin Nolan, Joey Barton and Andy Carroll. As the Magpies consolidated, comfortably avoiding relegation, the Toon could reflect upon a successful campaign. All of the three starts above, however, were sold and supporters could only really hope for more of the season, another mid-table finish. Yet, in selling those players for around £50 million, Newcastle replaced them with a series of foreign-based players for merely a fraction of the price. It was a risky strategy, without doubt. But, now 12 months on and heading into the last day of the season still with an outside chance of snatching a top four finish, it’s been a categorical success. Built upon the likes of Yohan Cabaye (£4.3 million) along with a strike force of Demba Ba (free transfer) and Papiss Cisse (£10 million) and other under valued stars, Newcastle have taken the Premier League by storm. Owner Mike Ashley had previously had to endure great criticism from the passionate fans of the Northern club, but surely now he can take great credit for the boardroom decisions taken regarding transfers.

However, what now for Ashley? If Newcastle keep a similar squad to the current one, it will be very difficult to improve upon what they already have achieved this season. It is also unlikely that they board possess the kind of money the likes of Manchester City and Chelsea do, so big money signings without any exits is again unlikely. Therefore, Ashley and his team have a big dilemma. They could stick with what they have now, fend off as many bids as they can, and deliver similar next season. Or, perhaps they could gamble. With Cheik Tiote (signed for under £5 million) courted for around £20 million, and 17-goal striker Demba Ba similarly in demand, Newcastle could offload them for big money. Is it conceivable that Newcastle’s scouting network could pull off some more coups for the club? Graham Carr has certainly done a fantastic job this year, and the dilemma is whether to gamble again in the European network. It must be noted that there have been previous mishaps in terms of transfers , players like Albert Luque, Xisco and Claudio Cacapa all came in from Europe and struggled to make an impact. Another similar set of errors and Newcastle could undo all of the work they’ve achieved this season in placing themselves in the top five. Pull of more transfer inspiration, and they could become genuine regular top four contenders. It’s going to be a big close-season on Tyneside, and whatever happens there is certainly exciting times to come for all the Newcastle fans out there.

Who do you think should come and go this season at St James’ Park? Get in touch in the debate, and you can find me on Twitter by searching @aitkenheadhj